Traffic Through the Panama Canal

Global shipping and resultant traffic through the Panama Canal

Summary
The Panama Canal is a major transit hub for trade between countries in Pacific and Atlantic regions, and also is an important component of the Panamanian economy. We have completed a global model of shipping traffic, linking them with macroeconomic predictors, and forecasting changes in shipping in the coming decades (r2=0.87). We have collated historical records of traffic through the Panama Canal, and by linking these together, we will be able to forecast change in traffic through the Canal, and the resulting effects on water usage and economics of Panama.

Figure: Current global shipping and forecast global shipping in 2050


Leads: Anthony Sardain, Erik Sardain, Brian Leung

Publications: Sardain, A., Sardain, E. & Leung, B. Global forecasts of shipping traffic and biological invasions to 2050. Nat Sustain 2, 274–282 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0245-y.